A Study of Mode Choice for the Journey to Work in Glasgow

Mohamad, Abdulnoor Khitheir (1990) A Study of Mode Choice for the Journey to Work in Glasgow. PhD thesis, University of Glasgow.

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Selected data, obtained from a conventional household interview survey, conducted in 1978 and 1979 as a part of the Glasgow Rail Impact Study, were used to study mode choice for journeys to work in the city of Glasgow and to identify the most significant factors influencing that choice. A number of disaggregate multinomial logit mode choice models with five modes, viz. car driver, car passenger, bus, train and walk, were investigated initially. On the basis of validation tests and statistical evaluation, two of the models, one simple and one complex, were identified as being the best-specified and were then used for aggregate prediction and policy change analyses. In general, the study has demonstrated the feasibility of using the multinomial logit approach to the development of multi-modal disaggregate travel demand models and that such models can be calibrated using data from a traditional household interview survey. More particularly, the major influencing factors on the mode choice decision were identified: travel time was found to be more significant than travel cost, which was also found to have the wrong (i.e. positive) sign; the central business district was found to affect significantly the choice of public transport modes; distance was found to have a significant effect on the choice of the walk mode; and car availability and the position in a household were found to be significant influences on the use of a car. The aggregate prediction analysis revealed the feasibility and desirability of using disaggregate models for such analyses and confirmed the superiority of the simple model over the complex one. It was concluded from the policy change analysis that changes in travel times would affect mode choice significantly but that changes in travel costs would not.

Item Type: Thesis (PhD)
Qualification Level: Doctoral
Keywords: Civil engineering, Transportation
Date of Award: 1990
Depositing User: Enlighten Team
Unique ID: glathesis:1990-78115
Copyright: Copyright of this thesis is held by the author.
Date Deposited: 28 Feb 2020 12:09
Last Modified: 28 Feb 2020 12:09
URI: https://theses.gla.ac.uk/id/eprint/78115

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