Modelling Anopheles gambiae mosquito population dynamics in heterogeneous landscapes

Bissett, Laura Anne (2026) Modelling Anopheles gambiae mosquito population dynamics in heterogeneous landscapes. MSc(R) thesis, University of Glasgow.

Abstract

The aim of this project is to develop a generalisable mathematical framework to model the population dynamics of Anopheles gambiae mosquitoes in a heterogeneous landscape. The model incorporates environmental dependencies (temperature and rainfall), with mosquito life history traits (development, survival, and gonotrophic cycle). Two approaches to model temporary habitat are tested in conjunction with the population dynamics framework, which regulate the environmental carrying capacity of the larvae population. The model is then validated against adult mosquito abundance data that was collected from villages in Burkina Faso and Nigeria. The evaluation of these temporary habitat models demonstrate the key mechanisms that drive the changes in mosquito population dynamics. The model is then used to predict a mosquito population in Burkina Faso (in the absence of control), where it is shown that without the implementation of the intervention, the mosquito population would be significantly higher than the observed abundance.

• Item Type: Thesis (MSc(R))
• Qualification Level: Masters
• Subjects: Q Science > QH Natural history > QH301 Biology; R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine
• Colleges/Schools: College of Medical Veterinary and Life Sciences > School of Biodiversity, One Health & Veterinary Medicine
• Supervisor's Name: Viana, Dr. Mafalda
• Date of Award: 2026
• Depositing User: Theses Team
• Unique ID: glathesis:2026-85988
• Copyright: Copyright of this thesis is held by the author.
• Date Deposited: 09 Jun 2026 15:50
• Last Modified: 09 Jun 2026 15:50
• Thesis DOI: 10.5525/gla.thesis.85988
• URI: https://theses.gla.ac.uk/id/eprint/85988